K C R Jewellers

19/10/2026

19/10/2026

*📰 XAUUSD / XAGUSD — News* _by www.sQuareindia.com_

*Gold:* $4,180 ▲ 0.35%
*Silver:* $57.75 ▲ 1.35%

• Fed Chair Warsh stayed noncommittal at the IMF. The odds of a hold at the Oct 27–28 meeting rose to about 84%, so an October hike is now close to priced out.
• The US paused sanctions on Russian oil, and crude dropped in Asia, which eases inflation fears.
• China's Q3 GDP grew 4.5% vs 4.4% expected, which helps metals demand.
• The Nikkei fell 2% on worries about AI spending, while US futures are up and the euro sits near a 16-month low as France's unrest weighs.

*Analysis — Technical:* Gold is pushing into the 21-day average at about $4,191, inside the $4,185–4,195 resistance band. A daily close above it opens a move to $4,215–4,227 and then the 100-day average near $4,239. If it fails here, the first support is $4,141–4,150, then last week's low at $4,074. RSI is 46, so momentum is still weak. Silver holding above $57.50 keeps $58.10 in play.

*Upcoming:* Light US calendar today; flash PMIs on Thu, Oct 23.

*Bias:* Gold neutral · Silver bullish

15/10/2026

*📰 XAUUSD / XAGUSD — News*
_by www.sQuareindia.com_

• Bloomberg adds detail on the China Treasury story: Beijing appears to be holding US Treasuries through custodians in Canada. Yields are staying lower, which supports bullion.
• Fed Chair Warsh speaks Friday at the IMF/World Bank meetings in Bangkok. That is the next big policy event after today's data.
• Silver's bounce is still a correction. RSI is around 32, and price is below the 9-day and 50-day EMAs.

*Analysis — PPI scenario:* August PPI came in at 5.4% y/y (core 4.6%). If September prints above that, it would back up the hot CPI and could push October hike odds from about 32% back toward 50%. Gold would then likely revisit $4,073–4,100, and silver could slip under $55. A softer print opens $4,208 for gold and the $58.80 EMA for silver.

*Upcoming:* US September PPI at 6:00 PM IST

*Bias:* Gold neutral · Silver bearish

15/10/2026

🌍 *Today's US Data Watch – 15 Oct (IST)*
_by www.sQuareindia.com_

🔴 6:00 PM – Core PPI m/m
(Forecast: 0.3% | Previous: 0.2%)

🔴 6:00 PM – Core Retail Sales m/m
(Forecast: 0.5% | Previous: 1.4%)

🔴 6:00 PM – PPI m/m
(Forecast: 0.5% | Previous: 0.4%)

🔴 6:00 PM – Retail Sales m/m
(Forecast: 0.3% | Previous: 1.2%)

🟠 6:00 PM – Philly Fed Manufacturing Index
(Forecast: 26.5 | Previous: 37.😎

🟠 6:00 PM – Unemployment Claims
(Forecast: 195K | Previous: 197K)

⚖️ *Expected Impact*

🟡 *Gold (XAUUSD)*
• If Core PPI and Retail Sales fall short of forecasts, this could weaken the USD, supporting higher gold prices.
• Stronger unemployment claims may signal economic weakness, further boosting gold as a safe-haven asset.

⚪ *Silver (XAGUSD)*
• Similar to gold, disappointing retail sales could lead to a weaker USD, benefiting silver prices.
• If manufacturing data shows a decline, it may increase demand for silver as an industrial metal, supporting its price.

14/10/2026

🌍 *Today's US Data Watch – 14 Oct (IST)*
_by www.sQuareindia.com_

🔴 6:00 PM – Core CPI m/m
(Forecast: 0.2% | Previous: 0.3%)

🔴 6:00 PM – Core CPI y/y
(Forecast: 2.5% | Previous: 2.4%)

🔴 6:00 PM – CPI m/m
(Forecast: 0.6% | Previous: 0.4%)

🔴 6:00 PM – CPI y/y
(Forecast: 3.6% | Previous: 3.4%)

⚖️ *Expected Impact*

🟡 *Gold (XAUUSD)*
• If Core CPI m/m comes in lower than expected, it may weaken the USD, boosting Gold prices.
• Higher CPI y/y could signal inflation concerns, which typically supports Gold as a hedge.

⚪ *Silver (XAGUSD)*
• A lower Core CPI could lead to a weaker USD, potentially lifting Silver prices as well.
• Rising CPI figures may increase demand for Silver as an inflation hedge, supporting its price.