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We look at the data generated to discover patterns that may not be readily obvious.We can help you with various services ranging from customer segmentation to data analysis and to the automation of spreadsheets.

U.S. Producer Prices Are Up 37.6% Since 2021!That's a significant increase in just over five years.Our latest chart reve...
10/17/2026

U.S. Producer Prices Are Up 37.6% Since 2021!

That's a significant increase in just over five years.

Our latest chart reveals three important trends:

• 2021-2022: Producer prices climbed sharply.

• 2023-2024: Prices largely stabilized, but remained elevated.

• 2025-2026: Prices began climbing again, reaching their highest level on the chart.

Why does this matter?

When businesses receive higher prices for the goods they produce, those increases can eventually affect what consumers pay. However, not every producer price increase is passed along to shoppers.

The big takeaway: Producer prices didn't return to their 2021 levels after the initial surge. Instead, they've moved even higher.

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED), data through September 2026.

Inflation is moving in the wrong direction again.U.S. annual inflation reached 4.02% in September 2026, an increase of 1...
10/17/2026

Inflation is moving in the wrong direction again.

U.S. annual inflation reached 4.02% in September 2026, an increase of 1.00 percentage point compared with September 2025.

While inflation has fluctuated over the past two years, the overall trend in recent months raises concerns about the cost of living.

Here's what often gets overlooked: When inflation slows, prices generally aren't falling. They're simply rising at a slower pace. When inflation accelerates again, consumers face even greater pressure on their purchasing power.

For American households, the consequences are real. Groceries, housing, transportation, and other everyday expenses continue competing for a larger share of household budgets.

The question isn't simply whether inflation is rising or falling. It's whether household incomes can keep pace with the rising cost of living.

Source: Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), CPIAUCSL | Analysis by Blue Hen Analytics

August 2026 state unemployment rates show a wide range of labor market conditions across the country.The national unempl...
10/05/2026

August 2026 state unemployment rates show a wide range of labor market conditions across the country.
The national unemployment rate was 4.1%, but state-level rates varied from the low-2% range to above 5%. The map makes those regional differences much easier to see, especially the concentration of higher unemployment rates across parts of the West and several states in the Midwest and East.
The categories are dynamically calculated from the current distribution of state unemployment rates, which helps preserve meaningful visual differences from month to month.
Data source: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

U.S. federal debt now stands at 121.2% of GDP, compared with a historical low of 30.6% in Q3 1981.The long-term trend te...
10/04/2026

U.S. federal debt now stands at 121.2% of GDP, compared with a historical low of 30.6% in Q3 1981.
The long-term trend tells an important story. Debt relative to the size of the U.S. economy rose substantially following the 2008-2009 financial crisis, crossed 100% of GDP in Q4 2012, and surged to a historical peak of 132.7% during the 2020 pandemic.
The latest reading remains well below that pandemic peak, but federal debt is still greater than the value of one year of U.S. economic output.
The gray bands show U.S. recessions and provide additional context for several of the largest increases.
Data: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, FRED
Analysis and visualization: Blue Hen Analytics

The labor market story becomes much clearer when we look at momentum, not just whether jobs increased or decreased.This ...
10/03/2026

The labor market story becomes much clearer when we look at momentum, not just whether jobs increased or decreased.
This chart measures how much the monthly growth rate in nonfarm employment changed compared with the previous month.
The volatility is striking.
February 2026 showed the largest deterioration, with the monthly growth rate falling about 20 percentage points from January. Just one month later, March recorded the strongest improvement in the period, jumping 23.3 percentage points.
More recently, momentum improved in August before weakening again in September. September 2026 came in 6.5 percentage points below the August growth rate.
That does not mean nonfarm employment fell 6.5% in September. It means the rate of monthly job growth weakened by 6.5 percentage points compared with August.
Looking at the change in the growth rate can help reveal shifts in labor market momentum that are harder to see in the headline employment numbers alone.

The labor market continues to cool, but not through a surge in layoffs.Since early 2022, the U.S. job openings rate has ...
09/30/2026

The labor market continues to cool, but not through a surge in layoffs.
Since early 2022, the U.S. job openings rate has fallen substantially, from about 7.0% in January 2022 to 4.4% in July 2026. Over the same period, the quits rate declined from 2.9% to 1.9%, suggesting workers are considerably less willing to leave their current jobs than they were during the exceptionally tight labor market of 2021 and 2022. FRED
What is especially interesting is the layoffs and discharges rate. Despite the decline in job openings and quits, layoffs have remained relatively stable near 1% for much of the past several years. FRED
Taken together, the data suggest a labor market characterized more by reduced hiring and lower worker mobility than by widespread job losses.
In other words, companies appear less eager to hire, workers appear less eager to quit, but employers are not dramatically increasing layoffs.
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, retrieved through FRED.

Foreign official institutions once held nearly 40% of marketable U.S. Treasury debt. Today, that share is just 12.8%.The...
09/20/2026

Foreign official institutions once held nearly 40% of marketable U.S. Treasury debt. Today, that share is just 12.8%.

The decline does not necessarily mean foreign governments are abandoning U.S. Treasuries. It does mean that the Treasury market has become much less dependent on foreign official buyers than it was at its 2009 peak.

Why does this matter?

As foreign official institutions finance a smaller share of U.S. debt, more Treasury securities must be absorbed by domestic investors and private global investors. That shift can influence Treasury yields, which in turn affect borrowing costs across the economy, including mortgages, auto loans, business financing, and other credit.

The chart shows just how significant the long-term change has been:

January 2000: 19.2%
January 2009 peak: 39.2%
July 2026: 12.8%

The bigger story is not simply that foreign official holdings have declined as a share of the market. It is that the composition of who finances U.S. government debt has changed substantially.

While I am not in the Real Estate industry, it's gotta be tough on those that are.U.S. new single-family home sales took...
09/12/2026

While I am not in the Real Estate industry, it's gotta be tough on those that are.

U.S. new single-family home sales took a noticeable step backward in July.

After increasing 1.95% in June 2026, sales fell 6.33% in July on a seasonally adjusted month-over-month basis.

The chart also shows just how volatile this market has been over the past several years. Strong monthly gains have often been followed by equally sharp declines, which makes it important to look beyond any single month when evaluating housing-market direction.

The July decline does not establish a new trend by itself, but it does show that momentum weakened considerably after June's increase.

The U.S. labor market continues to cool, but the latest JOLTS data still point more toward normalization than a sharp de...
09/01/2026

The U.S. labor market continues to cool, but the latest JOLTS data still point more toward normalization than a sharp deterioration.

Job openings have fallen substantially from the elevated levels seen in 2022, declining from above 7% to roughly 4.4%. That suggests employers are becoming more cautious about adding workers as labor demand continues to moderate.

The quits rate has also moved lower, now hovering around 2%. Workers tend to quit more frequently when they are confident they can find a better opportunity elsewhere, so the lower quits rate suggests employees are becoming less willing to test the job market.

At the same time, layoffs and discharges remain relatively stable at roughly 1.1%. That is an important distinction. Employers may not be hiring as aggressively, but the data do not currently show a broad surge in job losses.

The story from JOLTS remains fairly consistent:
Hiring demand has cooled.
Workers are changing jobs less frequently.
Layoffs remain comparatively contained.

That combination looks more like a gradually cooling labor market than one experiencing a sudden contraction.

The next question is whether job openings stabilize near current levels or continue moving lower as businesses adjust to slower economic growth.

Data: Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED)
Blue Hen Analytics

It's unlikely that this is the desired action for most US citizens.
08/30/2026

It's unlikely that this is the desired action for most US citizens.

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